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#743 Austin Peay Governors -1

3-Units (7:00 P.M. CST)

Not afraid to lay the small number with an Austin Peay team that has won 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two schools. Even though their playing at home, Jacksonville St. will be hard pressed to slow down the Governor's Drake Reed(22 PPG) and Wes Channels(17 PPG). Neither team is known for being solid on defense, so this could turn into a shootout. Jacksonville St. has lost 3 straight and 7 of its last 10 games and is 5-11 in conference play. Austin Peay on the other hand is 6-4 in their last 10 games, and is a solid 10-5 in conference play. I will go with history and the fact that the Governors are 8-2 after the spread in their last 10 road games.

Take the Austin Peay Governors -1 for 3-Units!


Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning


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#540 Central Florida Knights -12 1/2

3-Units (6:00 P.M. CST)


Central Florida has been scoring at a torrid pace over their past 5 games, averaging 71 points an outing, while hitting 52% from beyond the 3 point line. Even more impressive is the fact that they shot 73% from downtown in their last game against Marshall, connecting on 11 of 15 from 3 point range. Central Florida games are turning out to be the Jermaine Taylor show. The Senior Guard is averaging 24 points and 5 rebounds a game.


SMU has lost 4 of their last 5 games, and 6 straight road games. To put it mildly, they have yet to win a road game this season! They are led by Freshman Guard Paul McCoy who is averaging 13 points and 4 rebounds a game. Center Bamba Fall leads all Mustangs with 7 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots a game.


This will be a total mismatch of major proportions. Central Florida is an impressive 10-2 at home with losses to Florida and Memphis, while SMU has yet to win on the road this year. SMU has recent road losses to both Rice and Marshall, two teams with overall losing records that happened to break losing streaks of two or more losses with wins over SMU. Twelve and a half points should be no problem for the Knights at home tonight.



Take the Central Florida Knights -12 1/2 for 3-Units!



Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning



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#739 Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2

3-Units (9:00 P.M. CST)

Both of these teams have losing records, yet one seems to have a clear advantage over the other, especially in past match ups. Fresno St. has won 4 straight over Cal Poly dating back to 1998! Now the Mustangs find themselves in a rare favorite role over the Bulldogs. They catch a Fresno St. team that is on a two game losing streak, having lost road games to Creighton and St. Louis. Both these teams had winning records, and in fact all of the teams that Fresno St. lost to had winning records except Oregon St.(4-5). Cal Poly just lost to a 4-9 CSU Bakersfield team, and can't be feeling good about the way the season is going. Fresno St. on the other hand gets their first real winnable game on the road against a team they have managed to handle very easily in the past. Fresno St. is shooting a steady 45% from the field on the season, and in road games. Cal Poly on the other hand is shooting a miserable 35 % from the field in home games, and will have a tough time covering the spread in this game against the Bulldogs of Fresno St.

Take the Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2 for 3-Units!

Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning

Southcoast Sports

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Today's Selections:

#390 New York Jets -9

4-Units (3:15 P.M. CST)

The Jets and Broncos have something in common. Do you know what it is? I do. They both lost to the lowly Oakland Raiders this year. Denver lost by a 10-30 score to Oakland just last week, while the Jets lost 13-16 to the same Oakland team back in the middle of October.

One thing has remained a constant in all of the Broncos games. They give up lots of points!!! They are ranked #28 in the league with 28 points allowed per game, and will be facing a Jets team that is ranked #2 in the league with 29 points scored a game. The Jets Brett Favre has been spreading the wealth in the receiving corps. He has 5 different receivers that are averaging over 20 receiving yards per game.

One of the reasons for the poor defensive play of the Broncos is the fact that they very rarely create turnovers, if fact they are last in the NFL with just under one takeaway per game. The one positive that the Broncos have going for them is Jay Cutler and the Broncos offense. The offense is ranked #2 in the league in total offensive yards, but have struggled in the red zone, which accounts for the #15 ranked offense in total points scored.

The wild card that makes the Jets the play, despite the high number, is the way their defense has played over the past few weeks. They did allow the Patriots to score 31 a couple of weeks ago, but other than that lone setback, have held 5 of its last 7 opponents to 17 or less points. Denver on the other hand has allowed 6 of its last 10 opponents to score over 30 points, while holding only one opponent under 20 points in this span. With the weapons that Favre has at his disposal in the receiving corps, and with Thomas Jones doing the damage with the running game, I see no way that they Broncos defense can keep the Jets from scoring, and scoring, and scoring.

Take the New York Jets -9 for 4-Units!

Trends worth considering:

Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.

Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Jets allow the third least rushing yards in the league at 78.0 per game

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

Free NCAA Football Play from Southcoast Sports 10-23-08

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MLB Selections now on 78-45 Run!!!

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#105 New Mexico Lobos +5

2-Units (7:00 P.M. CST)

New Mexico's defense has really stepped up their level of play over their last 3 games, allowing a total of 28 points scored, while giving up a total of 269 yards a game. On offense they rely heavily on a rushing attack that has averaged 223 yards a game this season, and 293 yards a game over their last 3 games. And yes, I know that New Mexico faced two to the worst teams in the Mountain West Conference in Wyoming and San Diego St. But they also held a very good BYU team to just 21 points scored a couple of weeks ago. Air Force comes in also relying heavily on the running game, averaging 300 yards a game on the season, and 324 over their last 3 games. They are a solid team defensively allowing 304 total yards a game which ranks 28th nationally. Both teams are so successful rushing the ball, that they very rarely have to pass. This accounts for the less than average numbers in the passing game for both teams. This is an indication that the team that is able to stop the run will have the best chance at winning this game. The New Mexico Lobos have the 22nd ranked rushing defense in the nation, and although they will have their hands full, should be able to slow down the Air Force rushing attack. Lets side with the better defensive team in this Thursday night match up.

Take the New Mexico Lobos +5 for 2-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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#118 Northwestern Wildcats +1

4-Units (2:30 P.M. CST)

Northwestern has had a week off to rest and prepare for this matchup with rival Michigan St. Last year Northwestern won at Michigan St. in a 48-41 shootout. Wildcat running back Tyrell Sutton missed that game with an injury, but quarterback C.J. Bacher improvised by throwing for a school record 520 yards with 5 passing touchdowns. Northwestern has won 2 of the last 3 meetings and 4 of the last 6 between these two schools. This season has seen much improvement from both defenses. Northwestern ranks 13th nationally in scoring defense while Michigan St. ranks 22nd. Northwestern leads the Big Ten with 17 sacks and may be able to get pressure on Spartan quarterback Brian Hoyer who is completing just 48% of his passes on the season. This will cause problems for a Spartan offense in third and long situations. The Spartans have been shorthanded in the secondary, and will have a hard time stopping the Northwestern offense, that will be able to run or throw pretty much at will. A very interesting trend for this game is that the Wildcats are 6-1 their last 7 games against the spread following a bye week. This is an indication that Wildcats coach Pat Fitzgerald is very efficient at getting his team prepared for the upcoming opponent when idle. The Spartans are also 0-4 against the spread in the last 4 meetings.

Take the Northwestern Wildcats +1 for 4-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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#306 South Florida -13 1/2

4-Units (6:30 P.M. CST)

I realize that this may be a lot of points, but after careful consideration, and many hours of looking at this game, I see no reason that South Florida should not be able to cover this number. South Florida's opponents have went 11/11 on the season, and the Bulls have played and won 3 games on the road. They also beat a Kansas team that was ranked #13 in the nation at the time, at home on September 12th. Pittsburgh on the other hand played 3 home games to open the season, losing their home opener to a Bowling Green squad that now has a 2-2 record on the season. They trailed a 1/4 Syracuse team 24-13 midway through the 3rd quarter last week, before finally pulling away with a 34-24 win. Pittsburgh relies heavily on the run, with quarterback Bill Stull throwing for just 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. This may play right into the strength of the Bulls, who have allowed just under 59 rushing yards a game on the season. The Pittsburgh defense has been decent this season, allowing just over 300 yards a game, but will have their hands full trying to stop a Bulls offense that is averaging 201 rushing yards and 263 passing yards a game. Looking at both teams average yard per rush, I notice that South Florida averages 4.5 yards per rush, while Pittsburgh averages 4.1 yards per rush. Defensively the Bulls are quite stingy giving up a low 2.1 yards per rush, while the Panthers give up a respectful 3.8 yards per rush. What happens if the Panthers are unable to run the ball? This may very well happen, and if it does, Bill Stull will be asked to move the ball through the air! Uh,,,this is the same Bill Stull that has thrown just 2 touchdowns, and is averaging a meager 5.8 yards per attempt on the season. Long story short----if Pittsburgh is not able to run the ball and falls behind, they will not be able to catch up with this Bulls team that will be able to move the ball with an experienced Matt Grothe behind center. Oh...one more thing, Pittsburgh struggled with a small crowd of 27,000 last week at Syracuse. How will they handle a huge crowd of 58,000+ pumped up and ready for this Nationally Televised Espn game at South Florida? They won't!

Take the South Florida Bulls -13 1/2 for 4-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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